| negrisk_arb |
No |
111.0 |
0.913 |
$101.35 |
$0.00 |
$0.22 |
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? |
| negrisk_arb |
No |
117.0 |
0.864 |
$101.11 |
$0.00 |
$-1.07 |
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? |
| negrisk_arb |
No |
105.0 |
0.959 |
$100.71 |
$0.00 |
$-1.22 |
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? |
| negrisk_arb |
No |
113.0 |
0.889 |
$100.50 |
$0.00 |
$2.67 |
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? |
| negrisk_arb |
No |
103.0 |
0.971 |
$100.03 |
$0.00 |
$-1.20 |
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? |
| negrisk_arb |
No |
105.0 |
0.950 |
$99.74 |
$0.00 |
$0.38 |
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison? |
| negrisk_arb |
No |
101.0 |
0.987 |
$99.70 |
$0.00 |
$-0.01 |
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the April meeting? |
| negrisk_arb |
No |
104.0 |
0.959 |
$99.70 |
$0.00 |
$0.40 |
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison? |
| negrisk_arb |
No |
101.0 |
0.987 |
$99.65 |
$0.00 |
$-0.11 |
Will Databricks’ market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day? |
| negrisk_arb |
No |
104.0 |
0.958 |
$99.60 |
$0.00 |
$-2.15 |
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? |
| complete_set |
Yes |
101.0 |
0.942 |
$95.16 |
$0.00 |
$-4.76 |
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential ele |
| lp_mm |
Yes |
120.0 |
0.500 |
$60.00 |
$0.00 |
$19.80 |
No one announced as next James Bond? |
| lp_mm |
No |
120.0 |
0.500 |
$60.00 |
$0.00 |
$-19.80 |
No one announced as next James Bond? |
| lp_mm |
Yes |
120.0 |
0.500 |
$60.00 |
$0.00 |
$-56.88 |
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? |
| lp_mm |
No |
120.0 |
0.500 |
$60.00 |
$0.00 |
$56.88 |
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? |
| lp_mm |
Yes |
120.0 |
0.500 |
$60.00 |
$0.00 |
$-44.40 |
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? |
| lp_mm |
No |
120.0 |
0.500 |
$60.00 |
$0.00 |
$44.40 |
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? |
| lp_mm |
Yes |
120.0 |
0.500 |
$60.00 |
$0.00 |
$-34.20 |
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? |
| lp_mm |
No |
120.0 |
0.500 |
$60.00 |
$0.00 |
$34.20 |
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? |
| lp_mm |
Yes |
120.0 |
0.500 |
$60.00 |
$0.00 |
$-42.60 |
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? |
| lp_mm |
No |
120.0 |
0.500 |
$60.00 |
$0.00 |
$42.60 |
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? |
| no_bias |
No |
85.0 |
0.675 |
$57.37 |
$0.00 |
$-9.77 |
Will Alavés be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season? |
| test |
|
100.0 |
0.526 |
$52.60 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
|
| no_bias |
No |
100.0 |
0.505 |
$50.51 |
$0.00 |
$-2.01 |
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? |
| no_bias |
No |
74.0 |
0.673 |
$49.82 |
$0.00 |
$-1.35 |
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? |
| no_bias |
No |
100.0 |
0.495 |
$49.49 |
$0.00 |
$-1.49 |
Trump out as President before GTA VI? |
| no_bias |
No |
100.0 |
0.495 |
$49.49 |
$0.00 |
$-0.99 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
| no_bias |
No |
79.0 |
0.626 |
$49.45 |
$0.00 |
$-0.86 |
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
| no_bias |
No |
89.0 |
0.556 |
$49.44 |
$0.00 |
$-0.93 |
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
| no_bias |
No |
94.0 |
0.525 |
$49.37 |
$0.00 |
$-0.96 |
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? |
| no_bias |
No |
104.0 |
0.475 |
$49.37 |
$0.00 |
$-1.01 |
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? |
| no_bias |
No |
104.0 |
0.475 |
$49.37 |
$0.00 |
$-2.05 |
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
| no_bias |
No |
74.0 |
0.666 |
$49.28 |
$0.00 |
$-0.81 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
| no_bias |
No |
96.0 |
0.513 |
$49.26 |
$0.00 |
$-0.83 |
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? |
| no_bias |
No |
86.0 |
0.571 |
$49.08 |
$0.00 |
$2.35 |
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? |
| no_bias |
No |
81.0 |
0.606 |
$49.07 |
$0.00 |
$-1.69 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
| no_bias |
No |
121.0 |
0.404 |
$48.87 |
$0.00 |
$-1.07 |
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
| no_bias |
No |
142.0 |
0.343 |
$48.72 |
$0.00 |
$-1.15 |
No one announced as next James Bond? |
| no_bias |
No |
79.0 |
0.615 |
$48.57 |
$0.00 |
$-0.50 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
| no_bias |
No |
294.0 |
0.161 |
$47.30 |
$0.00 |
$-1.73 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
| no_bias |
No |
375.0 |
0.110 |
$41.41 |
$0.00 |
$16.71 |
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League |
| weather |
Yes |
230.0 |
0.148 |
$34.08 |
$0.00 |
$-3.03 |
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 21? |
| no_bias |
No |
300.0 |
0.111 |
$33.27 |
$0.00 |
$-0.27 |
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential ele |
| no_bias |
No |
76.0 |
0.414 |
$31.46 |
$0.00 |
$-1.06 |
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? |
| weather |
Yes |
392.0 |
0.070 |
$27.60 |
$0.00 |
$-9.96 |
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 66-67°F on April 21? |
| weather |
Yes |
1336.0 |
0.020 |
$27.27 |
$0.00 |
$-5.23 |
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on April 20? |
| weather |
Yes |
924.0 |
0.026 |
$23.60 |
$0.00 |
$-16.67 |
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 64-65°F on April 21? |
| weather |
Yes |
600.0 |
0.038 |
$22.84 |
$0.00 |
$28.76 |
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on April 20? |
| weather |
Yes |
420.0 |
0.054 |
$22.54 |
$0.00 |
$-9.52 |
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on April 20? |
| weather |
Yes |
188.0 |
0.120 |
$22.54 |
$0.00 |
$-2.80 |
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on April 21? |
| weather |
Yes |
191.0 |
0.115 |
$21.88 |
$0.00 |
$26.83 |
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 21? |
| weather |
Yes |
173.0 |
0.117 |
$20.24 |
$0.00 |
$42.04 |
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on April 20? |
| weather |
Yes |
344.0 |
0.058 |
$19.88 |
$0.00 |
$-11.28 |
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on April 20? |
| weather |
Yes |
2000.0 |
0.009 |
$18.97 |
$0.00 |
$-6.97 |
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on April 21? |
| weather |
Yes |
600.0 |
0.030 |
$18.05 |
$0.00 |
$-12.95 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on April 20? |
| weather |
Yes |
25.0 |
0.708 |
$17.71 |
$0.00 |
$-1.08 |
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 64°F or higher on April 21? |
| weather |
Yes |
58.0 |
0.259 |
$15.01 |
$0.00 |
$-5.73 |
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on April 20? |
| weather |
Yes |
1059.0 |
0.014 |
$14.61 |
$0.00 |
$-0.31 |
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on April 20? |
| weather |
Yes |
1490.0 |
0.010 |
$14.19 |
$0.00 |
$-0.78 |
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on April 21? |
| weather |
Yes |
1524.0 |
0.009 |
$13.31 |
$0.00 |
$-4.16 |
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on April 21? |
| weather |
Yes |
308.0 |
0.035 |
$10.88 |
$0.00 |
$-2.56 |
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on April 21? |
| weather |
Yes |
150.0 |
0.070 |
$10.56 |
$0.00 |
$6.69 |
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on April 20? |
| weather |
Yes |
399.0 |
0.026 |
$10.50 |
$0.00 |
$-2.92 |
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on April 20? |
| weather |
Yes |
924.0 |
0.011 |
$10.24 |
$0.00 |
$-1.00 |
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on April 21? |
| weather |
Yes |
792.0 |
0.013 |
$10.09 |
$0.00 |
$-2.57 |
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 60-61°F on April 21? |
| weather |
Yes |
924.0 |
0.010 |
$9.31 |
$0.00 |
$-2.85 |
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on April 21? |
| weather |
Yes |
597.0 |
0.016 |
$9.26 |
$0.00 |
$1.18 |
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on April 22? |
| weather |
Yes |
125.0 |
0.072 |
$8.96 |
$0.00 |
$-5.52 |
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on April 21? |
| weather |
Yes |
900.0 |
0.010 |
$8.56 |
$0.00 |
$-1.81 |
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 73°F or below on April 22? |
| weather |
Yes |
631.0 |
0.013 |
$8.24 |
$0.00 |
$-0.04 |
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 22? |
| weather |
Yes |
383.0 |
0.020 |
$7.54 |
$0.00 |
$-2.56 |
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on April 22? |
| weather |
Yes |
838.0 |
0.008 |
$6.80 |
$0.00 |
$-1.78 |
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on April 22? |
| weather |
Yes |
1400.0 |
0.005 |
$6.75 |
$0.00 |
$-1.85 |
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on April 21? |
| complete_set |
Yes |
101.0 |
0.066 |
$6.69 |
$0.00 |
$-0.27 |
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? |
| weather |
Yes |
333.0 |
0.020 |
$6.51 |
$0.00 |
$-1.52 |
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on April 22? |
| weather |
Yes |
314.0 |
0.020 |
$6.24 |
$0.00 |
$-3.10 |
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on April 20? |
| weather |
Yes |
572.0 |
0.010 |
$5.99 |
$0.00 |
$-0.84 |
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 66-67°F on April 22? |
| weather |
Yes |
45.0 |
0.130 |
$5.85 |
$0.00 |
$-1.58 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on April 20? |
| weather |
Yes |
716.0 |
0.008 |
$5.75 |
$0.00 |
$-2.17 |
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 66-67°F on April 22? |
| weather |
Yes |
597.0 |
0.009 |
$5.66 |
$0.00 |
$-1.18 |
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on April 22? |
| weather |
Yes |
597.0 |
0.009 |
$5.43 |
$0.00 |
$-0.36 |
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on April 22? |
| weather |
Yes |
86.0 |
0.062 |
$5.33 |
$0.00 |
$-2.36 |
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 20? |
| weather |
Yes |
48.0 |
0.111 |
$5.32 |
$0.00 |
$-1.00 |
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C or higher on April 21? |
| weather |
Yes |
661.0 |
0.007 |
$4.76 |
$0.00 |
$-1.78 |
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 64-65°F on April 22? |
| weather |
Yes |
149.0 |
0.030 |
$4.48 |
$0.00 |
$3.79 |
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on April 20? |
| weather |
Yes |
198.0 |
0.022 |
$4.38 |
$0.00 |
$-1.61 |
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on April 22? |
| weather |
Yes |
663.0 |
0.007 |
$4.34 |
$0.00 |
$-1.35 |
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 62-63°F on April 22? |
| weather |
Yes |
516.0 |
0.008 |
$4.32 |
$0.00 |
$-0.96 |
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 64-65°F on April 22? |
| weather |
Yes |
714.0 |
0.006 |
$4.09 |
$0.00 |
$-1.59 |
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 62-63°F on April 22? |
| weather |
Yes |
26.0 |
0.151 |
$3.93 |
$0.00 |
$-2.37 |
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on April 21? |
| weather |
Yes |
182.0 |
0.021 |
$3.83 |
$0.00 |
$2.35 |
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on April 20? |
| weather |
Yes |
26.0 |
0.143 |
$3.73 |
$0.00 |
$-0.35 |
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 21? |
| weather |
Yes |
400.0 |
0.009 |
$3.60 |
$0.00 |
$-1.60 |
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on April 20? |
| weather |
Yes |
266.0 |
0.013 |
$3.54 |
$0.00 |
$-1.81 |
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 20? |
| weather |
Yes |
333.0 |
0.010 |
$3.39 |
$0.00 |
$-0.06 |
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 68-69°F on April 22? |
| weather |
Yes |
651.0 |
0.005 |
$3.31 |
$0.00 |
$-1.03 |
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 62-63°F on April 22? |
| weather |
Yes |
182.0 |
0.018 |
$3.30 |
$0.00 |
$0.61 |
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on April 21? |
| complete_set |
Yes |
101.0 |
0.030 |
$3.04 |
$0.00 |
$-0.51 |
Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season |
| weather |
Yes |
264.0 |
0.012 |
$3.04 |
$0.00 |
$0.66 |
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on April 21? |
| weather |
Yes |
631.0 |
0.005 |
$2.91 |
$0.00 |
$-0.70 |
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 74°F or higher on April 21? |
| weather |
Yes |
56.0 |
0.039 |
$2.20 |
$0.00 |
$1.47 |
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 20? |
| weather |
Yes |
333.0 |
0.006 |
$2.00 |
$0.00 |
$-0.17 |
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 67°F or below on April 22? |
| weather |
Yes |
400.0 |
0.005 |
$1.90 |
$0.00 |
$-0.10 |
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on April 20? |
| weather |
Yes |
11.0 |
0.172 |
$1.89 |
$0.00 |
$0.59 |
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on April 21? |
| weather |
Yes |
13.0 |
0.140 |
$1.82 |
$0.00 |
$-0.11 |
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on April 21? |
| weather |
Yes |
188.0 |
0.010 |
$1.80 |
$0.00 |
$-0.39 |
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 58-59°F on April 22? |
| weather |
Yes |
400.0 |
0.003 |
$1.13 |
$0.00 |
$-0.13 |
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on April 20? |
| complete_set |
Yes |
100.0 |
0.009 |
$0.91 |
$0.00 |
$-0.26 |
Will Bournemouth finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League? |
| weather |
Yes |
18.0 |
0.047 |
$0.85 |
$0.00 |
$-0.09 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 21? |
| weather |
Yes |
100.0 |
0.004 |
$0.43 |
$0.00 |
$0.12 |
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on April 20? |
| weather |
Yes |
200.0 |
0.002 |
$0.41 |
$0.00 |
$-0.11 |
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on April 20? |
| test |
|
10.0 |
0.000 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
|