POLY HARNESS — paper trading

🎾 TENNIS — LIVE (real money)

Showing only live-mode bets (rationale.live=True). Paper-mode trades are hidden. Tabs are auto-generated from core.live_strategies.LIVE_TENNIS_STRATEGIES.

Consolidated

Sum across all live tennis strategies: Main (HIGH/MED).

open positions
0
open cost basis
$0.00
unrealized PnL
$0.00
realized PnL (closed 52)
$502.84

ATP HIGH and MEDIUM-confidence picks, news-approved.

Rules (5)
open positions
0
open cost basis
$0.00
unrealized PnL
$0.00
realized PnL (closed 52)
$502.84

OPEN BETS — awaiting match result

no open bets in Main (HIGH/MED).

RESOLVED — recent results

placedmatchbetconf modelentryrealized
06-12 19:21:06 Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Ben Shelton HIGH 0.61 0.477 $+223.34
06-11 21:55:38 Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton HIGH 0.61 0.417 $+185.06
06-11 17:16:27 Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Marin Cilic HIGH 0.50 0.205 $+794.47
06-09 21:04:09 Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Marton Fucsovics MEDIUM 0.50 0.184 $+226.41
06-05 18:19:48 Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Kamil Majchrzak HIGH 0.61 0.437 $-203.62
06-04 12:51:10 Andrea Pellegrino vs Roberto Carball Roberto Carballes Baen MEDIUM 0.50 0.367 $-50.91
06-04 06:44:07 Mackenzie McDonald vs Rinky Hijikata Mackenzie McDonald MEDIUM 0.58 0.447 $-91.51
06-01 22:56:24 Mackenzie McDonald vs Nicolai Budkov Mackenzie McDonald MEDIUM 0.61 0.497 $+51.28
05-29 19:44:58 Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nak Brandon Nakashima HIGH 0.50 0.286 $-132.73
05-29 19:44:58 Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comes Francisco Comesana MEDIUM 0.55 0.347 $-51.04
05-29 16:41:13 Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien Learner Tien HIGH 0.51 0.357 $-204.06
05-29 14:37:59 Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Land Martin Landaluce HIGH 0.55 0.437 $-203.62
05-28 22:18:45 Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul Tommy Paul HIGH 0.50 0.296 $-204.36
05-28 01:50:35 Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe Frances Tiafoe HIGH 0.61 0.437 $+261.96
05-28 00:49:23 Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Matteo Arnaldi MEDIUM 0.50 0.397 $+77.29
05-27 23:48:05 Zachary Svajda vs Adam Walton Adam Walton MEDIUM 0.58 0.487 $-91.57
05-25 22:51:21 Facundo Acosta vs Zhizhen Zhang Zhizhen Zhang MEDIUM 0.61 0.337 $-50.98
05-24 14:56:47 Sebastian Baez vs Roman Andres Burru Roman Andres Burruchag HIGH 0.58 0.459 $+155.96
05-23 11:07:53 Cameron Norrie vs Adolfo Vallejo Cameron Norrie HIGH 0.61 0.507 $-132.00
05-23 05:56:57 Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi Tallon Griekspoor MEDIUM 0.58 0.467 $-50.95
05-23 04:55:12 Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfils Gael Monfils MEDIUM 0.61 0.507 $-50.73
05-22 15:32:00 Ethan Quinn vs Francisco Comesana Ethan Quinn MEDIUM 0.61 0.466 $-50.95
05-21 21:09:16 Emilio Nava vs Pedro Martinez Pedro Martinez MEDIUM 0.49 0.326 $-91.76
05-21 17:05:38 Roberto Carballes Baena vs Hugo Dell Roberto Carballes Baen MEDIUM 0.50 0.377 $-51.11
05-19 22:32:04 Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Learner Tien Learner Tien MEDIUM 0.50 0.377 $+151.64
05-18 04:28:10 Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Giovanni Mpets Giovanni Mpetshi Perri MEDIUM 0.49 0.306 $-50.96
05-14 23:19:51 Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Roman Andre Roman Andres Burruchag HIGH 0.61 0.417 $-203.46
05-14 16:48:46 Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderi Luciano Darderi HIGH 0.49 0.276 $-204.30
05-14 09:37:53 Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Matteo Berre Camilo Ugo Carabelli MEDIUM 0.51 0.407 $+133.68
05-13 00:55:22 Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov Karen Khachanov HIGH 0.50 0.225 $-204.78

RECENT EXITS — closed positions (SELL orders)

whenmatchsidesharespricereason
04-24 18:51:48 Madrid Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs T Tommy Paul 185 0.670 calibrated edge below 10% — systematic overconfidence correction
04-24 18:51:48 Madrid Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Fla Flavio Cobolli 191 0.660 calibrated edge below 10% — systematic overconfidence correction
04-24 18:51:48 Madrid Open: Mariano Navone vs Alexander Alexander Zverev 163 0.780 calibrated edge below 10% — systematic overconfidence correction
04-24 18:51:48 Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian M Daniil Medvedev 203 0.620 calibrated edge below 10% — systematic overconfidence correction

RECENT — last 40 submissions (BUY orders)

tsmatchbetconf statussizepriceedgenews
06-12 19:21:06 Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Ben Shelton HIGH FILLED 427 0.48 +0.15 APPROVE
06-11 21:55:38 Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton HIGH FILLED 318 0.43 +0.20 REDUCE
06-11 17:16:27 Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Marin Cilic HIGH FILLED 999 0.22 +0.30 APPROVE
06-09 21:04:09 Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovi Marton Fucsovics MEDIUM FILLED 278 0.20 +0.32 REDUCE
06-06 01:36:54 Adam Walton vs Liam Draxl Liam Draxl MEDIUM REJECTED 135 0.39 +0.24 REDUCE
06-05 18:19:48 Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Kamil Majchrzak HIGH FILLED 466 0.45 +0.18 APPROVE
06-04 12:51:10 Andrea Pellegrino vs Roberto Car Roberto Carballes MEDIUM FILLED 139 0.38 +0.14 REDUCE
06-04 06:44:07 Mackenzie McDonald vs Rinky Hiji Mackenzie McDonald MEDIUM FILLED 205 0.46 +0.14 APPROVE
06-01 22:56:24 Mackenzie McDonald vs Nicolai Bu Mackenzie McDonald MEDIUM FILLED 102 0.51 +0.12 REDUCE
05-29 19:44:58 Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Brandon Nakashima HIGH FILLED 464 0.30 +0.22 REDUCE
05-29 19:44:58 Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco C Francisco Comesana MEDIUM FILLED 147 0.36 +0.21 REDUCE
05-29 16:41:13 Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien Learner Tien HIGH FILLED 572 0.37 +0.16 APPROVE
05-29 14:37:59 Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Martin Landaluce HIGH FILLED 466 0.45 +0.12 APPROVE
05-28 22:18:45 Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul Tommy Paul HIGH FILLED 690 0.31 +0.21 APPROVE
05-28 01:50:35 Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe Frances Tiafoe HIGH FILLED 466 0.45 +0.18 APPROVE
05-28 00:49:23 Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsits Matteo Arnaldi MEDIUM FILLED 128 0.41 +0.11 REDUCE
05-27 23:48:05 Zachary Svajda vs Adam Walton Adam Walton MEDIUM FILLED 188 0.50 +0.10 APPROVE
05-25 22:51:21 Facundo Acosta vs Zhizhen Zhang Zhizhen Zhang MEDIUM FILLED 151 0.35 +0.28 REDUCE
05-24 14:56:47 Sebastian Baez vs Roman Andres B Roman Andres Burru HIGH FILLED 288 0.47 +0.13 REDUCE
05-23 11:07:53 Cameron Norrie vs Adolfo Vallejo Cameron Norrie HIGH FILLED 260 0.52 +0.11 REDUCE
05-23 05:56:57 Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arna Tallon Griekspoor MEDIUM FILLED 109 0.48 +0.12 REDUCE
05-23 04:55:12 Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfils Gael Monfils MEDIUM FILLED 100 0.52 +0.11 REDUCE
05-22 15:32:01 Marton Fucsovics vs Matteo Berre Marton Fucsovics MEDIUM REJECTED 135 0.39 +0.13 REDUCE
05-22 15:32:00 Ethan Quinn vs Francisco Comesan Ethan Quinn MEDIUM FILLED 109 0.47 +0.16 REDUCE
05-21 21:09:16 Emilio Nava vs Pedro Martinez Pedro Martinez MEDIUM FILLED 282 0.33 +0.18 APPROVE
05-21 17:05:38 Roberto Carballes Baena vs Hugo Roberto Carballes MEDIUM FILLED 136 0.39 +0.13 REDUCE
05-19 22:32:04 Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Learner Ti Learner Tien MEDIUM FILLED 243 0.39 +0.13 APPROVE
05-18 04:28:10 Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Giovanni M Giovanni Mpetshi P MEDIUM FILLED 166 0.32 +0.19 REDUCE
05-16 03:05:58 Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Quentin Quentin Halys HIGH REJECTED 512 0.41 +0.11 APPROVE
05-15 23:49:12 Raphael Collignon vs Tallon Grie Tallon Griekspoor MEDIUM REJECTED 128 0.41 +0.11 REDUCE
05-14 23:50:47 Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Miomir K Camilo Ugo Carabel MEDIUM REJECTED 180 0.52 +0.11 APPROVE
05-14 23:19:51 Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Roman A Roman Andres Burru HIGH FILLED 488 0.43 +0.20 APPROVE
05-14 16:48:46 Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderi Luciano Darderi HIGH FILLED 740 0.29 +0.22 APPROVE
05-14 09:37:53 Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Matteo B Camilo Ugo Carabel MEDIUM FILLED 226 0.42 +0.11 APPROVE
05-13 05:34:43 Martin Damm vs Grigor Dimitrov Martin Damm MEDIUM REJECTED 230 0.41 +0.11 APPROVE
05-13 00:55:22 Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov Karen Khachanov HIGH FILLED 910 0.24 +0.28 APPROVE
05-12 18:52:43 Dalibor Svrcina vs Tristan Boyer Tristan Boyer MEDIUM FILLED 227 0.24 +0.29 REDUCE
05-12 16:44:45 Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi Luciano Darderi HIGH FILLED 625 0.34 +0.18 APPROVE
05-12 05:38:47 Roberto Bautista Agut vs Pedro M Pedro Martinez MEDIUM REJECTED 200 0.47 +0.10 APPROVE
05-11 23:20:29 Sho Shimabukuro vs Quentin Halys Sho Shimabukuro MEDIUM FILLED 315 0.30 +0.22 APPROVE

LAST MODEL RUN — 06-13 13:50:51 UTC · HIGH=2 MED=4 LOW=6 · shared input across all strategies

confbet onmatchdate modelmarketedge newsdecisionflags
LOW Moez Echargui Jaime Faria vs Moez Echargui 2026-06-15 0.73 0.39 +0.336 — LOW (skip) FORM: recent10=30% · 2026: 0% win rate · OVERCONF: model 95% but ranked lower · THIN: only 11 career matches
LOW Michael Mmoh Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmoh 2026-06-13 0.49 0.17 +0.316 — LOW (skip) RANK: betting on #285 vs #69 · THIN: only 11 career matches
MEDIUM Daniel Evans Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron 2026-06-13 0.49 0.26 +0.236 FADE no-bet (FADE) THIN: only 13 career matches
↳ news: Daniel Evans' live ranking has dropped outside the top 200 (currently ~#211), making the model's rank of #144 significantly stale (>30 spots). Additionally, Evans recently announced his impending retirement after Wimbledon.
LOW Polina Kudermetova Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja Kraus 2026-06-13 0.75 0.56 +0.189 — LOW (skip) FORM: recent10=30% · OVERCONF: model 86% but ranked lower · AMBIGUOUS: multiple players with last name 'kudermetova'
LOW Yue Yuan Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yuan 2026-06-13 0.41 0.22 +0.189 — LOW (skip) RANK: betting on #121 vs #42
LOW Katarzyna Kawa Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna 2026-06-13 0.75 0.59 +0.159 — LOW (skip) OVERCONF: model 91% but ranked lower
HIGH Panna Udvardy Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynets 2026-06-13 0.50 0.35 +0.145 — edge moved (skip)
↳ news: Skipped before news: live ask 0.380, live edge +0.074. live edge +0.074 below threshold +0.10.
MEDIUM Veronika Erjavec Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec 2026-06-13 0.38 0.24 +0.130 REDUCE not placed FORM: recent10=20% · THIN: only 13 career matches
↳ news: Erjavec is a clay-courter playing her first grass match of 2026 after a 3-week singles layoff, while Golubic is a proven grass player (2021 Wimbledon QF) with two matches on the surface this week. The model's data on Erjavec is also extremely thin, making this a clear spot to reduce exposure.
HIGH Dino Prizmic Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata 2026-06-13 0.58 0.47 +0.110 — edge moved (skip)
↳ news: Skipped before news: live ask 0.480, live edge +0.029. live edge +0.029 below threshold +0.10.
MEDIUM Kamilla Rakhimova Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Kamilla Rakhimova 2026-06-13 0.59 0.49 +0.097 — edge<10% (skip) 2026: 36% win rate
↳ news: Skipped before news: live ask 0.500, live edge +0.065. live edge +0.065 below threshold +0.10.
MEDIUM Aleksandar Vukic James Duckworth vs Aleksandar Vukic 2026-06-13 0.63 0.70 -0.076 — edge<10% (skip) FORM: recent10=10% · 2026: 31% win rate
LOW Alex de Minaur Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur 2026-06-13 0.73 0.81 -0.079 — LOW (skip) AMBIGUOUS: multiple players with last name 'minaur'

Source: paper_orders + paper_positions filtered by rationale.live=True. Wallet positions are reconciled to on-chain truth every scan via core.live_reconciliation.